New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The New York Mets (35-38) and Chicago Cubs (36-39) meet Friday to kick-off a 3-game series. First pitch from Wrigley Field is set for 2:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

New York lost 5-3 to the Texas Rangers Wednesday while failing to cover as a -112 road favorite. Leading 3-1, the Mets allowed the Rangers to rattle off 4 unanswered runs. The loss ended a 7-game win streak for the Mets.

Chicago won 6-5 over the San Francisco Giants Wednesday to cover as a -107 home favorite. Chicago was able to hang on for the win despite giving up a grand-slam in the 8th while leading 6-1. The Cubs have won back-to-back games.

Mets at Cubs projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. LHP Shota Imanaga

Quintana (2-5, 4.98 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 5-1 win over the San Diego Padres Saturday
• Career vs. Cubs: 0-4, 3.17 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 8 starts

Imanaga (7-1, 1.89 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 76 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 5-1 win over the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
• Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start

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Mets at Cubs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:34 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets +128 (bet $100 to win $128) | Cubs -152 (bet $152 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-166) | Cubs -1.5 (+138)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +102 | U: -124)

Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 3, Cubs 1

Moneyline

LEAN METS (+128).

New York is the hotter team, being 3-1 in its last 4 road games and 8-2 in its last 10 overall while the Cubs are only 3-3 in their last 6 at home and 5-5 in their last 10 overall.

The Mets are also 2-1 in their last 3 vs. Chicago.

This is only a lean because New York and Chicago have split their last 10 meetings and because New York is only 1-2 in the last 3 games in Chicago.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Mets to cover here as +1.5 (-166) underdogs, but the line is set just too risky. New York has more value on the moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-125).

The Under has hit in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 home games and is 8-2 in its last 10 games overall. For New York, the Under is 6-4 in its last 10 games. The Under has also hit in 5 of the last 6 New York-Chicago meetings.

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